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Probability sampling:
Probability sampling is a technique used to ensure that every element in a sample frame has an equal chance of being incorporated into the sample. If this statement does not make so much sense yet, let us try to recall some of the terms we defined earlier on. Remember that sampling frame is the largest sample that can be obtained from a population. And that a sample, is only but a portion of things in the population. How can we then ensure that we have a chance of including every element in a sample frame into our sample? Not an easy task ah! Below are some ways by which we can try to accomplish probability sampling. Each has its own advantages and limitations associated with them. However, you can combine different probability sampling procedures in order to obtain the sample you want as long as you limit yourself to random selection procedures. a) Simple random sampling In simple random sampling, we use an unsystematic random selection process i.e. we identify every element in the sampling frame then choose them on some planned basis ensuring that every element has the same opportunity of being selected. What if the sample frame is too large? We can use a random number table. This is a table containing random numbers. In order to use the table, you will need to determine the size of your sample frame and the largest number in your sample frame has to be included into the table. Let us look at this table below with three columns and nine rows. 24356 46724 25641 67514
98257 98165 35678 87192
98173
Let us create some fictitious numbers of 45 students in a class and we want to get the average math score for seven students. How do we go about choosing the seven students using the random sample table above? The first step is to decide how to move in the columns and rows: either up or down but this has to be systematic. Second, choose any starting point to select a sample of seven from the sampling frame of 45. Let us assume that we are using the first two digits of the number. Let us take column two row seven. The numbers are 9 and 1. We are already in a problem. 91 is too large than 45. Let us take column one row three. The number is 2 and 5. 25 is within the range of 45. This will be our first number to use from the sample frame of 45. We will
then continue until we get to the seven students we needed.
b) Systematic random sampling Systematic random sampling is done through some ordered criteria by choosing elements from a randomly arranged sampling frame. You can chose from every nth element in a sample frame i.e. 10th, 15th, 20th and so on. What are the procedures involved? You have to decide on your sample size. Let us say your sample size will be made up of 30 students from a sample frame of 400 students, you may want a proportion of 30/400 = 0.075, which is every 13th person. In both the simple random sampling and the systematic sampling you will be required to generate a list from the sampling frame. It also requires that the elements within the sampling frame be homogeneous. c) Stratified random sampling When dealing with a sample frame that is not homogeneous and contains subgroups such as freshmen, juniors, and so on in a listing of university students for instance, you will need to represent those subgroups in your sample. In order to achieve this, random selection from each subgroup in the sampling frame has to be considered using the same procedures. The subgroups within the sample frame will have to be treated as though they are separate sampling frames themselves. Does this sound like yet another tongue twister? Not after we have equipped ourselves with the sampling jargons identified earlier in this lesson. Just to refresh our minds on this, click here. d) Cluster sampling Have you ever imagined a situation whereby a sampling frame list is unavailable and as a researcher you have to continue with your work? For instance, how would you go about obtaining a sample frame list of all college students in Canada? Hard! Would you abandon carrying your research on this basis? If I were you I would say a big NO! Why? Through cluster sampling, we can randomly select hierarchical groups from the sampling frame by creating clusters that can be further sampled into finer gradations of clusters until we can obtain a list of elements. Let us create a scenerio that will illustrate how cluster sampling is
achieved. To select a random sample of 600 college students in Canada
for instance, let us create a sample frame consisting of a list of colleges.
Using the simple random sampling, we can select six colleges from the list.
Then from the clusters, we can randomly select 100 students from the six
colleges to obtain 600 students residing in Canada.
Non probability Sampling
We will now look at some examples of non-probability sampling used in research. a) Accidental sampling This is selection based on availability or ease of inclusion. Assume that you were walking down the street and an interviewer chose to videotape you for the evening local news broadcast. Can this be termed accidental or random sampling? I would argue strongly for accidental sampling because this was a mere selection based on your availability and willingness to talk. Accidental sampling can lead to misinterpretation of results. Do you recall the outcome of the 1936 U.S presidential elections published in The literary Digest? Maybe you were not yet born by that time. Try to find this publication and see what results accidental sampling can produce. b) Purposive sampling In exploratory or pilot projects you may be purposely inclined to obtain data from specific individuals. Such data may give you internal validity of your project, but you may not be able to generalize it to other places and people. c) Quota sampling In quota sampling, you select sampling elements on the basis of categories
that are assumed to exist within a population. How is quota sampling different
from stratified random sampling discussed earlier on? In the former, elements
are randomly selected from stratified groups while in the latter a presumed
subdivision is used as the bases of the selection procedure. Although in
quota sampling the results may almost reflect similarities with the population,
there is difficulty in determining the amount of sample error. Do you remember
the famous 1948 photograph of Harry Truman holding a newspaper with the
following infamous headline
DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN? (Dane, 1990). Find out
more about this story and reflect on how quota sampling may lead to our
inability to generalize to a population.
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